Publications

Publications from the group.

2020s

2025

Gerlich, H.S., Holmstrup, M., Schmidt, N.M., Phillimore, A.B. and Høye, T.T., (2025) Keeping up with climate change: have Arctic arthropods reached their phenological limits?. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 292.

Sinclair, F.H., Tang, C.T., Bailey, R.I., Csóka, G.L., Melika, G., Nicholls, J.A., Nieves-Aldrey, J.L., Reiss, A., Zhang, Y.M., Phillimore, A.B. and Schönrogge, K., Stone, G.S. (2025) Quantifying phylogenetic and nonphylogenetic patterns in the richness, frequency, and identity of links in a herbivore-parasitoid interaction network. The American Naturalist, 206

Lovell, R.S., Powney, G.D., Botham, M.S. and Phillimore, A.B. (2025) Testing space‐for‐time transferability of climate effects on occupancy and abundance. Functional Ecology, 39(4), pp.1046-1060.

Lonero, I., Eddowes, M.J., Burgess, M.D., Pearce‐Higgins, J.W. and Phillimore, A.B. (2025) Temperature sensitivity of breeding phenology and reproductive output of the Common Redstart (Phoenicurus phoenicurus). Ibis, 167: 418-436.

Macphie, K.H., Samplonius, J.M., Hadfield, J.D., Pearce Higgins, J.W. and Phillimore, A.B. (2025) Tree taxon effects on the phenology of caterpillar abundance and biomass. Oikos, 2025(4): e10972.

2024

Weir, J. C. and Phillimore, A. B. (2024) Buffering and phenological mismatch: a change in perspective. Global Change Biology 30: e17294

Macphie, K.H. & Phillimore, A.B (2024) Phenology primer. Current Biology, 34: PR183

2023

Lovell, R.S., Collins, S., Martin, S.H., Pigot, A.L. and Phillimore, A.B. (2023) Space‐for‐time substitutions in climate change ecology and evolution. Biological Reviews, 98: 2243

Macphie, K.H., Samplonius, J.M., Pick, J.L., Hadfield, J.D. and Phillimore, A.B. (2023) Modelling thermal sensitivity in the full phenological distribution: A new approach applied to the spring arboreal caterpillar peak. Functional Ecology, 37: 3015

Branston, C.J., Whittingham, M.J., Phillimore, A.B., Leech, D. and Willis, S.G. (2023) The phenology and clutch size of UK Blue Tits does not differ with woodland composition. Ibis

2022

Keogan, K., Daunt, F., Wanless, S., Phillips, R.A., Alvarez, D., Anker‐Nilssen, T., Barrett, R.T., Bech, C., Becker, P.H., Berglund, P.A. and Bouwhuis, S. (2022) Variation and correlation in the timing of breeding of North Atlantic seabirds across multiple scales. Journal of Animal Ecology, 91: 1797

2021

Daskalova, G.N., Phillimore, A.B. & Myers‐Smith, I.H. (2021). Accounting for year effects and sampling error in temporal analyses of invertebrate population and biodiversity change: a comment on Seibold et al. 2019 Insect Conservation and Diversity, 14: 149

Samplonius, J.M. et al. (2021) Strengthening the evidence base for temperature-mediated phenological asynchrony and its impacts. Nature Ecology & Evolution, 5: 155

Keogan, K., et al. (2021). No evidence for fitness signatures consistent with increasing trophic mismatch over 30 years in a population of European shag Phalacrocorax aristotelis Journal of Animal Ecology, 90: 432

2020

Valente, L., Phillimore, A.B., Melo, M., Warren, B.H., Clegg, S.M., Havenstein, K., Tiedemann, R., Illera, J.C., Thébaud, C., Aschenbach, T. & Etienne, R.S. (2020). A simple dynamic model explains the diversity of island birds worldwide. Nature, pp.1-5.

Shutt, J. D., Nicholls, J.A., Trivedi, U.H., Burgess, M.D., Stone, G.N., Hadfield, J.D. & Phillimore, A.B. (2020) Gradients in richness and turnover of a forest passerine’s diet prior to breeding: a mixed model approach applied to faecal metabarcoding data. Molecular Ecology, 29: 1199

2019

Shutt, J.D., Cabello, I.B., Keogan, K., Leech, D.I., Samplonius, J.M., Whittle, L., Burgess, M.D. & Phillimore, A.B. (2019). The environmental predictors of spatio-temporal variation in the breeding phenology of a passerine bird. Proceedings of the Royal Society B, 286(1908), 20190952.

Shutt, J. D., Burgess, M.D., & Phillimore, A.B. (2019) A spatial perspective on the phenological distribution of the spring woodland caterpillar peak. American Naturalist

Assman, J.J et al. (2019) Local snow melt and temperature—but not regional sea ice—explain variation in spring phenology in coastal Arctic tundra. Global Change Biology

Daskalova, G.N., Phillimore, A.B., Bell, M. Maggs, H.E., & Perkins, A. J. (2019) Population responses of farmland bird species to agri‐environment schemes and land management options in Northeastern Scotland. Journal of Applied Ecology

2018

Burgess, M. D. et al. (2018) Estimating the ability of plants to plastically track temperature-mediated shifts in the spring phenological optimum. Nature Ecology and Evolution

Keogan, K. et al. (2018) Global phenological insensitivity to shifting ocean temperatures among seabirds. Nature Climate Change

Shutt, J. D., Bolton, M., Cabello, IM, Burgess, M.D., & Phillimore, A.B. (2018) The effects of woodland habitat and biogeography on blue tit Cyanistes caeruleus territory occupancy and productivity along a 220 km transect. Ecography

Valente, L., Phillimore, A.B., & Etienne, R.S. (2018). Using molecular phylogenies in island biogeography: it’s about time. Ecography, 182, 820.

2017

Tansey, C.J., Hadfield, J.D. & Phillimore, A.B. (2017) Estimating the ability of plants to plastically track temperature-mediated shifts in the spring phenological optimum Global Change Biology

Usui, T., Butchart, S.H.M., & Phillimore, A.B. (2017) Temporal shifts and temperature sensitivity of avian spring migration phenology: a phylogenetic meta-analysis. Journal of Animal Ecology

2016

Phillimore, A.B., Leech, D.I., Pearce-Higgins, J.W. & Hadfield, J.D. (2016) Passerines may be sufficiently plastic to track temperature-mediated shifts in optimum lay date. Global Change Biology, 22: 3259

Etienne, R.S., Pigot, A.L. & Phillimore, A.B. (2016) How reliably can we infer diversity-dependent diversification from phylogenies? Methods in Ecology & Evolution. 7, 1092

2015

Rosser, N., Kozak, K.M., Phillimore, A.B., & Mallet, J. (2015) Extensive range overlap between heliconiine sister species: evidence for sympatric speciation in butterflies? BMC Evolutionary Biology: 15, 125

Valente, L.M., Phillimore, A.B., & Etienne, R.S. (2015) Equilibrum and non-equilibrium dynamics simultaneously operate in the Galapagos archipelago. Ecology Letters

Roy, D.B., Oliver, T.H., Botham, M.S., Beckmann, B., Brereton, T., Dennis, R.L.H., Harrower, C., Phillimore, A.B. & Thomas, J.A. (2015) Similarities in butterfly emergence dates amongst populations suggest local adaptation to climate. Global Change Biology

Roberts, A.M.I, Tansey, C.J, Smithers, R.J. &Phillimore, A. B. (2015). Predicting a change in the order of forest spring phenology. Global Change Biology

2014

Valente L.M., Etienne, R.S & Phillimore, A.B. (2014) The effects of island ontogeny on species diversity and phylogeny Proc. R. Soc. B. 281: 20133227

2013

Phillimore A.B., Proios K., O' Mahony N., Bernard R., Lord A.M., Atkinson S. & Smithers R.J. (2013). Inferring local processes from macro-scale phenological pattern: a comparison of two methods. Journal of Ecology 101: 774-783

Sutherland, W. J., Freckleton, R.P., Godfray, H.C.J., Beissinger, S.R., Benton, T., Cameron, D.D., Carmel, Y., Coomes, D.A., Coulson, T., Emmerson, M.C., Hails, R.S., Hays, G.C., Hodgson, D. J., Hutchings, M. J., Johnson, D., Jones, J. P.G., Keeling, M.J., Kokko, H., Kunin, W.E., Lambin, X., Lewis, O.T., Malhi, Y., Mieszkowska, N., Milner-Gulland, E.J., Norris, K., Phillimore, A.B., Purves, D.W., Reid, J.M., Reuman, D.C., Thompson, K., Travis, J.M.J., Turnbull, L.A., Wardle, D.A. and Wiegand, T. (2013). Identification of 100 fundamental ecological questions. Journal of Ecology 101: 58-67


2012

Phillimore, A. B., S. Stålhandske, R. J. Smithers, and R. Bernard. 2012. Dissecting the contributions of plasticity and local adaptation to the phenology of a butterfly and its host plants. American Naturalist 180: 655-670

 

Lawrence, D., F. Fiegna, V. Behrends, J. G. Bundy, A. B. Phillimore, T. Bell, and T.G. Barraclough. 2012. Species interactions alter species responses to a novel environment. PLoS Biology 10: e1001330 [article]

Etienne, R., B. Haegeman, T. Stadler, T. Aze, P. N. Pearson, A. Purvis, and A. B. Phillimore. 2012. Diversity-dependence brings molecular phylogenies closer to agreement with the fossil record. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B. 279: 1300-1309

 

Rosser, N., A. B. Phillimore, B. Huertas, K. R. Willmott, and J. Mallet. 2012. Testing historical explanations for gradients in heliconiine butterflies of tropical America. Biol. J. Linn. Soc. 105: 479-497. [article]

Bunnefeld, N. and A. B. Phillimore. 2012 Island, archipelago and taxon effects: mixed models as a means of dealing with the imperfect design of nature’s experiments. Ecography 35: 15-22.

 

2011

Rosindell, J. and A. B. Phillimore. 2011. A unified model for island biogeography sheds light on the zone of radiation. Ecology Letters 14: 552-560.

 

Meiri, S., P. Raia, and A. B. Phillimore. 2011. Slaying dragons: limited evidence for unusual body size evolution on islands. Journal of Biogeography 38: 89-100.

2010


Phillimore, A.B.*, J. D. Hadfield*, O. R. Jones, and R. J. Smithers. 2010. Differences in spawning date between populations of common frog reveal local adaptation. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. USA 107: 8292-8297. (* equal contribution) 

 

Pigot, A.L., A. B. Phillimore, I. P. F. Owens, and C. D. L. Orme. 2010. The shape and temporal dynamics of phylogenetic trees arising from geographic speciation. Systematic Biology 59: 660-673.

 

Clegg, S.M., and A. B. Phillimore. 2010. The influence of migration and drift on genetic and phenotypic divergence in two species of Zosterops in Vanuatu. Phil Trans R. Soc. 365: 1077-1092. 

 

Ishtiaq, F., S. M. Clegg, A. B. Phillimore, R. A. Black, I. P. F. Owens, and B. C. Sheldon. 2010. Biogeographical patterns of blood parasite species diversity in avian hosts from southern Melanesian Islands. Journal of Biogeography 37: 120-132.

 

2009

Thomas, G.H., S. Meiri, and A. B. Phillimore. 2009. Body size diversification in Anolis: novel environment and island effects. Evolution 63: 2017-2030.

 

Dawideit, B., A. B. Phillimore, I Laube, B. Leisler, and K. Bohning-Gaese. 2009. Ecomorphological predictors of natal dispersal distances in British birds. Journal of Animal Ecology 78: 388-395.

 

2008

Phillimore, A. B. and T. D. Price. 2008. Density dependent cladogenesis in birds. PLoS Biology 6, e71. [article]

Phillimore, A. B., C. D. L. Orme, G. H. Thomas, T. M. Blackburn, P. M. Bennett, K. J. Gaston, and I. P. F. Owens. 2008. Sympatric speciation in birds is rare: insights from range data and simulations American Naturalist 171: 646-657.

 

Phillimore, A. B., I. P. F. Owens, R. Black, J. Chittock, T. A. Burke, and S. M. Clegg. 2008. Complex patterns of genetic and phenotypic divergence in an island bird and the consequences for delimiting conservation units. Molecular Ecology 17: 2839-2853.

 

Ishtiaq, F., L. Guillaumot, S. M. Clegg, A. B. Phillimore, R. A. Black, I. P. F. Owens, N. I. Mundy, and B. C. Sheldon. 2008. Avian haematozoan parasites and their associations with mosquitoes across Southwest Pacific Islands. Molecular Ecology 17: 4545-4555.

 

Freckleton, R. P., A. B. Phillimore, and M. Pagel. 2008. Relating traits to diversification: a simple test. American Naturalist 172: 102-115.

 

2007

Phillimore, A. B., C. D. L. Orme, R. G. Davies, J. D. Hadfield, W. J. Reed, K. J. Gaston, R. P. Freckleton, and I. P. F. Owens. 2007. Biogeographical basis of recent phenotypic divergence among birds: A global study of subspecies richness. Evolution 61: 942-957. 

 

Price, T. D., and A. B. Phillimore, A.B. 2007. Reduced major axis regression and the island rule. Journal of Biogeography 34: 1998-1999.

 

2006

Phillimore, A. B., R. P. Freckleton, C. D. L. Orme, and I. P. F. Owens. 2006. Ecology predicts large-scale patterns of phylogenetic diversification in birds. American Naturalist 168: 220-229.

 

Phillimore, A. B. and I. P. F. Owens. 2006. Are subspecies useful in evolutionary and conservation biology? Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B. 273: 1049-1053.

 

Hadfield, J.D., M. D. Burgess, M. A. Lord, A. B. Phillimore, S. M. Clegg, and I. P. F. Owens. 2006. Direct versus indirect sexual selection: genetic basis of colour size and recruitment in a wild bird. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B. 273: 1347-1353.

Phillimore, A.B. (In Press) Geography, range evolution and speciation in “The Princeton Guide to Evolution”. Eds. Losos
, J., Baum
, D., Futuyma
, D.J., Hoekstra
, H., Lenski
. R., Moore
, A., Schluter
, D., Whitlock
, M. Princeton University Press.


Phillimore, A.B. 2010. Subspecies origination and extinction in birds. Ornithological Monographs 67: 42-53.

 

Price, T.D., A. B. Phillimore, M. Awodey, and R Hudson. 2010. Nonecological and ecological causes of the evolution of sexually selected traits on islands. in In Search of the Causes of Evolution. Eds. Grant P. R & Grant, B. R. Princeton University Press

 

Phillimore, A.B. and T. D Price. 2009. Ecological influences on the temporal pattern of speciation. In Speciation and Patterns of Diversity. Eds Butlin, R. K., Bridle, J. & Schluter, D. Cambridge University Press. Pp 240-256.

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